1 00:00:05,390 --> 00:00:02,720 this is my quest of Medibank net org and 2 00:00:07,909 --> 00:00:05,400 control science comm as they run 3 00:00:09,560 --> 00:00:07,919 websites that have a focus on contrails 4 00:00:13,430 --> 00:00:09,570 I often get people sending me 5 00:00:15,829 --> 00:00:13,440 photographs of strange-looking contrails 6 00:00:17,750 --> 00:00:15,839 and asking me if they can if I can 7 00:00:20,929 --> 00:00:17,760 identify them for them this is a good 8 00:00:23,599 --> 00:00:20,939 example this is one from a Danny Vaughn 9 00:00:25,519 --> 00:00:23,609 on Twitter and he says all right my 10 00:00:29,660 --> 00:00:25,529 quest use your connections and track it 11 00:00:31,550 --> 00:00:29,670 October 14th Portland noonish and we've 12 00:00:34,010 --> 00:00:31,560 got these pretty interesting Tron 13 00:00:35,450 --> 00:00:34,020 contrails here they're curved and shave 14 00:00:37,639 --> 00:00:35,460 this one looks like it's almost like 15 00:00:39,260 --> 00:00:37,649 it's at a circle and there's one off in 16 00:00:42,110 --> 00:00:39,270 a distance which also has this strange 17 00:00:44,600 --> 00:00:42,120 kind of curve and possibly possibly a 18 00:00:48,229 --> 00:00:44,610 bend there that might just be a cloud so 19 00:00:49,910 --> 00:00:48,239 how do we go about tracking down what 20 00:00:53,420 --> 00:00:49,920 planes might have created these 21 00:00:57,279 --> 00:00:53,430 contrails but suppose what do we know we 22 00:00:59,959 --> 00:00:57,289 know it was taken in Portland Oregon and 23 00:01:03,670 --> 00:00:59,969 we know it was knocked over the 14th and 24 00:01:08,300 --> 00:01:03,680 about 12:00 noon so what I use is a 25 00:01:10,910 --> 00:01:08,310 website called flightradar24 comm which 26 00:01:13,580 --> 00:01:10,920 is basically a tracking site which 27 00:01:18,020 --> 00:01:13,590 tracks the positions of all the planes 28 00:01:23,289 --> 00:01:18,030 in the sky they use a technology called 29 00:01:27,320 --> 00:01:23,299 a DSP which is just a flight tracking 30 00:01:29,899 --> 00:01:27,330 flight tracking software service ok so 31 00:01:31,490 --> 00:01:29,909 we get to flightradar24 comm by default 32 00:01:33,319 --> 00:01:31,500 it's gonna start in Sweden because it's 33 00:01:36,530 --> 00:01:33,329 a Swedish company so we go over to the 34 00:01:39,830 --> 00:01:36,540 bookmarks tab over here and set it to 35 00:01:42,310 --> 00:01:39,840 North America and we're interested in 36 00:01:45,260 --> 00:01:42,320 Portland Oregon so we go over here to 37 00:01:47,719 --> 00:01:45,270 Oregon we zoom in and there's Portland 38 00:01:49,130 --> 00:01:47,729 now one thing you may have noticed 39 00:01:50,630 --> 00:01:49,140 straight away is there's an awful lot of 40 00:01:54,440 --> 00:01:50,640 planes these are actually the planes 41 00:01:56,240 --> 00:01:54,450 that are in the sky right now which is 42 00:01:57,620 --> 00:01:56,250 quite an incredible amount of air 43 00:02:00,170 --> 00:01:57,630 traffic when you really think about it 44 00:02:03,289 --> 00:02:00,180 and if we look over here you see 45 00:02:04,580 --> 00:02:03,299 Portland as less than some areas but 46 00:02:09,050 --> 00:02:04,590 still there's quite a lot of planes in 47 00:02:11,300 --> 00:02:09,060 this general area what we're interested 48 00:02:13,670 --> 00:02:11,310 in is planes that are making contrails 49 00:02:15,259 --> 00:02:13,680 so what we can do is filter 50 00:02:17,390 --> 00:02:15,269 planes out that are too low to make 51 00:02:20,860 --> 00:02:17,400 contrails so I'm going to go over to 52 00:02:24,920 --> 00:02:20,870 this gear wheel here go to filters 53 00:02:28,720 --> 00:02:24,930 enable filtering and do an altitude 54 00:02:32,209 --> 00:02:28,730 filter and I'm gonna set it to between 55 00:02:35,119 --> 00:02:32,219 20,000 feet and above and you click the 56 00:02:37,580 --> 00:02:35,129 plus sign here to add to the filter so 57 00:02:39,649 --> 00:02:37,590 now it's only going to show the planes 58 00:02:41,209 --> 00:02:39,659 that are high enough to make contrails 59 00:02:43,250 --> 00:02:41,219 and you'll see you've got that guess 60 00:02:45,860 --> 00:02:43,260 we'd have a lot of the clutter around 61 00:02:47,569 --> 00:02:45,870 around Portland if we click on an 62 00:02:51,220 --> 00:02:47,579 individual plane like here's one plane 63 00:02:53,659 --> 00:02:51,230 right now over Portland Delta Airlines 64 00:02:56,119 --> 00:02:53,669 984 you can see it's a flight from Las 65 00:02:59,330 --> 00:02:56,129 Vegas to Seattle and it's flying over 66 00:03:01,789 --> 00:02:59,340 Portland at 31,000 feet nearly today 67 00:03:04,940 --> 00:03:01,799 2,000 feet so that's a plane that's high 68 00:03:07,159 --> 00:03:04,950 enough to leave a contra one thing 69 00:03:08,809 --> 00:03:07,169 that's of interest is that any plane 70 00:03:12,020 --> 00:03:08,819 that's actually heading towards Portland 71 00:03:14,059 --> 00:03:12,030 will generally be too low if we turn the 72 00:03:16,780 --> 00:03:14,069 filters off again you'll see all these 73 00:03:18,740 --> 00:03:16,790 other planes that are going to Portland 74 00:03:20,030 --> 00:03:18,750 see is this we're going to pull them out 75 00:03:24,710 --> 00:03:20,040 it's going to Seattle - that's a 76 00:03:26,149 --> 00:03:24,720 low-flying plane that his plane going to 77 00:03:28,839 --> 00:03:26,159 Portland and we see it's actually at 78 00:03:31,369 --> 00:03:28,849 18,000 feet which is and it's descending 79 00:03:33,469 --> 00:03:31,379 fairly rapidly and that's going to low 80 00:03:34,969 --> 00:03:33,479 to make a contrail so if we just filter 81 00:03:36,289 --> 00:03:34,979 the planes are flying over Portland 82 00:03:38,390 --> 00:03:36,299 that'll be the ones that are actually 83 00:03:41,420 --> 00:03:38,400 making the contrails you can see from 84 00:03:46,099 --> 00:03:41,430 Portland now I'm going back to the tweet 85 00:03:48,830 --> 00:03:46,109 it was October 14th and noonish now what 86 00:03:53,119 --> 00:03:48,840 we can do in flightradar24 is replay the 87 00:03:55,909 --> 00:03:53,129 flight activity if you have an account 88 00:03:57,499 --> 00:03:55,919 you can go back as far as in month if 89 00:03:59,179 --> 00:03:57,509 you don't have an account the free 90 00:04:02,679 --> 00:03:59,189 service will let you do it for I think 91 00:04:05,689 --> 00:04:02,689 it's about a week so you can still do 92 00:04:08,149 --> 00:04:05,699 trails that you've seen that day or in 93 00:04:10,429 --> 00:04:08,159 the last week or so but since I've 94 00:04:14,149 --> 00:04:10,439 signed up for an account I can go back 95 00:04:19,430 --> 00:04:14,159 to we just check what was it 10 14 yes 96 00:04:24,260 --> 00:04:19,440 October the 14th and the time now the 97 00:04:25,980 --> 00:04:24,270 time is in UTC time UTC is a universal 98 00:04:29,610 --> 00:04:25,990 time zone 99 00:04:32,460 --> 00:04:29,620 and since this was a couple of weeks ago 100 00:04:33,900 --> 00:04:32,470 it was in Pacific Daylight Time and the 101 00:04:38,909 --> 00:04:33,910 difference between Pacific Daylight Time 102 00:04:40,770 --> 00:04:38,919 and UTC is seven hours there seven hours 103 00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:40,780 ahead of us it's basically similar to a 104 00:04:44,339 --> 00:04:43,210 Greenwich Mean Time the same as 105 00:04:52,140 --> 00:04:44,349 Greenwich Mean Time 106 00:04:54,240 --> 00:04:52,150 so noonish would be 12 plus 7 is 1900 107 00:05:01,290 --> 00:04:54,250 hours or 7 o'clock in the afternoon 108 00:05:02,879 --> 00:05:01,300 UTC so we can start playback all right 109 00:05:05,909 --> 00:05:02,889 so what I'm going to do is just pause it 110 00:05:09,240 --> 00:05:05,919 straight away and have a look at what 111 00:05:12,839 --> 00:05:09,250 lights we see over Portland at about 112 00:05:16,020 --> 00:05:12,849 noon ish here's one AAS a witch in 113 00:05:18,270 --> 00:05:16,030 Alaska Alaska Airlines and you see us 114 00:05:19,290 --> 00:05:18,280 made a little kink in there probably not 115 00:05:22,230 --> 00:05:19,300 the type of thing we're actually looking 116 00:05:23,580 --> 00:05:22,240 at Southwest Airlines oh there's an 117 00:05:27,059 --> 00:05:23,590 interesting one this is Southwest 118 00:05:30,420 --> 00:05:27,069 Airlines flight from Oakland to Seattle 119 00:05:32,159 --> 00:05:30,430 is flying in a loop over Portland so 120 00:05:34,620 --> 00:05:32,169 that seemed like a very good candidate 121 00:05:37,020 --> 00:05:34,630 for a plane which we're believing this 122 00:05:42,560 --> 00:05:37,030 type of contrail so what else do we have 123 00:05:49,230 --> 00:05:46,709 which is flying from that's flying to 124 00:05:53,580 --> 00:05:49,240 Portland for some reason it's at 24,000 125 00:05:56,189 --> 00:05:53,590 feet but here we've got a plane flying 126 00:05:57,390 --> 00:05:56,199 in a loop oh for Portland why would he 127 00:06:00,029 --> 00:05:57,400 be doing such a thing 128 00:06:06,270 --> 00:06:00,039 why would he be flying in a loop if it's 129 00:06:09,659 --> 00:06:06,280 going to Seattle the reason that planes 130 00:06:11,129 --> 00:06:09,669 fly in loops although technically as a 131 00:06:14,730 --> 00:06:11,139 circuit a loop would be flying 132 00:06:16,649 --> 00:06:14,740 head-over-heels is that there's a lot of 133 00:06:20,520 --> 00:06:16,659 traffic going to Seattle these planes 134 00:06:22,980 --> 00:06:20,530 here are all going to Seattle and it's a 135 00:06:25,830 --> 00:06:22,990 very busy Airport and they have to 136 00:06:28,529 --> 00:06:25,840 schedule the arrivals in a very strict 137 00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:28,539 order they have to arrive you're pretty 138 00:06:33,330 --> 00:06:31,810 much on a you know 1 minute window so 139 00:06:35,219 --> 00:06:33,340 you can't just have planes just flying 140 00:06:37,620 --> 00:06:35,229 directly in their landing air traffic 141 00:06:38,719 --> 00:06:37,630 control in Seattle is going to tell the 142 00:06:40,790 --> 00:06:38,729 plane to 143 00:06:43,070 --> 00:06:40,800 you arrived a little bit later or a 144 00:06:44,179 --> 00:06:43,080 little bit earlier than before and 145 00:06:45,619 --> 00:06:44,189 normally what they do is they will tell 146 00:06:48,860 --> 00:06:45,629 the plane to just take a slight 147 00:06:50,989 --> 00:06:48,870 deviation from their direct route in and 148 00:06:54,100 --> 00:06:50,999 they'll fly in a little circuit like 149 00:06:56,209 --> 00:06:54,110 this or sometimes they will fly in a 150 00:06:57,950 --> 00:06:56,219 they'll just fly off to the side and 151 00:06:59,510 --> 00:06:57,960 then back onto the track again it's just 152 00:07:01,579 --> 00:06:59,520 basically a way of slowing down the 153 00:07:05,299 --> 00:07:01,589 planes arrival so it can arrive at a 154 00:07:09,140 --> 00:07:05,309 particular particular time now one thing 155 00:07:12,350 --> 00:07:09,150 we can do in the filters is we can 156 00:07:14,269 --> 00:07:12,360 filter by the airport that the plane is 157 00:07:18,499 --> 00:07:14,279 going to so I'm going to do 158 00:07:19,760 --> 00:07:18,509 Seattle here SCA and do in so we just 159 00:07:23,059 --> 00:07:19,770 have the planes that are going into 160 00:07:25,820 --> 00:07:23,069 Seattle now I'll turn off the altitude 161 00:07:29,149 --> 00:07:25,830 filter so we can see all of the flights 162 00:07:31,909 --> 00:07:29,159 and let me just turn this back on get 163 00:07:34,570 --> 00:07:31,919 rid of the filters here so these are all 164 00:07:37,730 --> 00:07:34,580 the flights that are going into Seattle 165 00:07:39,920 --> 00:07:37,740 at that time and assume right out so we 166 00:07:41,809 --> 00:07:39,930 can get a countrywide view just get some 167 00:07:44,239 --> 00:07:41,819 perspective as to just how many planes 168 00:07:46,760 --> 00:07:44,249 are heading for Seattle at that 169 00:07:49,579 --> 00:07:46,770 particular time noonish on the 14th of 170 00:07:51,829 --> 00:07:49,589 October let's just pause it here so here 171 00:07:54,739 --> 00:07:51,839 there's a lot of planar so there's over 172 00:08:00,139 --> 00:07:54,749 50 planes visible right here and if we 173 00:08:02,959 --> 00:08:00,149 zoom in to Seattle here's the one plane 174 00:08:05,649 --> 00:08:02,969 that's doing the loop may have made one 175 00:08:07,639 --> 00:08:05,659 of those curved contrails 176 00:08:11,029 --> 00:08:07,649 let's have a look at some of these other 177 00:08:14,089 --> 00:08:11,039 planes over here notice Blaine here did 178 00:08:15,649 --> 00:08:14,099 a quite a major deviation from here to 179 00:08:17,779 --> 00:08:15,659 here and then it's going back in again 180 00:08:21,439 --> 00:08:17,789 so maybe a similar type of thing instead 181 00:08:23,360 --> 00:08:21,449 of doing a circuit it just went over 182 00:08:26,119 --> 00:08:23,370 here and then went over here which again 183 00:08:28,159 --> 00:08:26,129 changes the the order in which it 184 00:08:29,659 --> 00:08:28,169 arrives and you see if you look at the 185 00:08:33,079 --> 00:08:29,669 actual planes coming in they're very 186 00:08:36,949 --> 00:08:33,089 very close to each other here's Alaska 3 187 00:08:41,240 --> 00:08:36,959 1 1 and here's that's the Southwest 188 00:08:43,309 --> 00:08:41,250 Airlines flight coming in and here's 189 00:08:46,579 --> 00:08:43,319 another flight and you see there there's 190 00:08:48,110 --> 00:08:46,589 not very much room for error here that's 191 00:08:50,929 --> 00:08:48,120 a very interesting one you can see that 192 00:08:52,400 --> 00:08:50,939 they did a lot of deviations of its 193 00:08:54,199 --> 00:08:52,410 flight here as it came in didn't 194 00:08:58,670 --> 00:08:54,209 to fly straight in is doing a lot of 195 00:09:01,879 --> 00:08:58,680 moving around looking to get in at the 196 00:09:07,369 --> 00:09:01,889 right time so I hope that shows you how 197 00:09:09,470 --> 00:09:07,379 you can track down particular planes one 198 00:09:11,090 --> 00:09:09,480 thing you might want to do if you don't 199 00:09:14,179 --> 00:09:11,100 know the exact time is just simply let 200 00:09:15,559 --> 00:09:14,189 the simulation let the the recording 201 00:09:18,379 --> 00:09:15,569 play for a while and you'll see all 202 00:09:21,350 --> 00:09:18,389 these other planes coming in this is 203 00:09:23,569 --> 00:09:21,360 filtering for Seattle at the moment and 204 00:09:25,400 --> 00:09:23,579 here's another another fly and you see 205 00:09:27,139 --> 00:09:25,410 again doll flying directly in it's 206 00:09:32,300 --> 00:09:27,149 making these these adjustments so that 207 00:09:35,269 --> 00:09:32,310 it arrives on time so you'll see a lot 208 00:09:38,420 --> 00:09:35,279 of a lot of this type of thing if you if 209 00:09:44,110 --> 00:09:38,430 we change things so that we see all the 210 00:09:48,170 --> 00:09:44,120 tracks at once you know meta tracks 211 00:09:54,800 --> 00:09:48,180 pause it now let's go in and just look 212 00:09:58,460 --> 00:09:54,810 at all the tracks you can see there's 213 00:10:04,280 --> 00:09:58,470 quite a variety in the incoming planes 214 00:10:08,540 --> 00:10:04,290 tracks they don't fly in what you might 215 00:10:11,650 --> 00:10:08,550 expect a straight line as they are 216 00:10:13,689 --> 00:10:11,660 arriving they have all these adjustments